Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Campbell | 33 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Stohl | 31 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| N. Raivio | 28 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| K. Knutson | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Ito | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Sikma | 10 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Figures | 35 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 32 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Banks | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Pena | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Kingman | 23 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 15 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Y. Bonner | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Proctor | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Kaba | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter