Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.0% | 27.0% | -5.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -18 (61-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Oliver | 32 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| M. Payne | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | - |
| J. Harden | 31 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Calegari | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Malik | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Oestreicher | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Carter | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Silva | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Boone | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Clark | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Wells | 33 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Z. Urbanus | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Nelson | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| P. Pandak | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Dahn | 20 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| C. Morabbi | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. McDowell | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Streeter | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Eykyn | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Roberts | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Brick | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter