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2008-12-15

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 92.1% 7.9% -
Bradley-Terry 67.3% 32.7% -
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 (12.5 off)

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -18 (61-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Oliver 32 8-11 2-3 3-3 0 1 1 0 1 21 11 -
M. Payne 31 3-5 0-1 6-6 8 8 5 1 4 12 25 -
J. Harden 31 4-8 0-1 10-10 2 2 3 0 2 18 15 -
K. Brucculeri 26 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 5 6 -
D. Calegari 21 4-7 1-2 1-1 2 1 0 1 3 10 4 -
A. Malik 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Oestreicher 13 2-2 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 1 1 6 6 -
D. Carter 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
T. Lowenthal 10 0-0 0-0 3-5 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
R. Silva 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Boone 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Clark 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wells 33 4-11 2-3 5-6 6 4 1 0 3 15 12 -
Z. Urbanus 29 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
D. Nelson 24 6-10 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 3 14 6 -
P. Pandak 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
A. Dahn 20 2-8 1-6 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 5 -1 -
C. Morabbi 20 3-7 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
T. McDowell 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
B. Streeter 16 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 7 6 -
D. Eykyn 8 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 2 1 -
M. Roberts 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Brick 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
J. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter