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2008-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 13.6% 86.4% -
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% -
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 19.4% 80.6% -
Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% -
Log Adjusted 8.9% 91.1% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +14 (62-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mullins 37 4-14 2-4 3-3 2 5 4 0 1 13 9 -
W. Clemmons 35 0-4 0-3 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 1 2 -
C. Fay 26 4-10 2-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 10 2 -
T. Boyle 25 3-9 0-0 8-9 7 0 0 1 1 14 12 -
C. Cornelius 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 3 1 6 7 -
R. Hare 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
K. Dillard 15 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 4 4 1 -
T. Roundtree 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Bocot 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
N. Evans 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 0 -3 -
A. Booker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Burleson 32 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
L. Babbitt 31 3-8 1-1 8-8 6 0 0 1 3 15 11 -
A. Johnson 29 7-12 0-1 2-2 2 1 3 1 3 16 8 -
J. Shaw 26 2-6 1-2 3-3 3 0 0 1 3 8 3 -
M. Cooke 25 2-5 0-0 6-8 6 1 1 0 1 10 12 -
D. Hunt 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 0 1 6 -
B. Fields 17 3-4 1-2 1-1 0 3 0 0 2 8 5 -
R. Phillips 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Kraemer 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Phillips 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
L. Giles 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter