Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harper | 32 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | - |
| K. Faried | 32 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| R. Murry | 31 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| L. Buchanan | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Hill | 24 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Stallworth | 23 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Shingles | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Lamb | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Coleman | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Peterson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Oguchi | 37 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 32 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Phillips | 32 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| E. Holloway | 31 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Sampay | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Odzic | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Robinson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Holtz | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Shipley | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Thornton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter