Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.8% | 21.2% | -7.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Appalachian State Mountaineers -19 (70-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Hamlin | 39 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - |
| M. Smith | 38 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 9-10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| K. Tiggs | 37 | 9-18 | 3-8 | 10-11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 19 | - |
| C. Pigram | 36 | 12-22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 18 | - |
| I. Brown | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Hubbard | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jaxson Jones | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Williams | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Sollazzo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Butts | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| E. Bermudez | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Hunter | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Brand | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Sims | 21 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| T. Webb | 19 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Abraham | 17 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| J. Booth | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Wright | 12 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Hughes | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Q. Dowdell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Highsmith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.R. Archer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter