Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +17.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +19 (79-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Tilford | 33 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| B. Davis | 32 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| R. Douglas | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. Watson | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Sherrer | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Hayles | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Coleman | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Ross | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Tabet | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B.J. Ford | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Varnado | 26 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 25 | - |
| R. Johnson | 26 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| P. Turner | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| B. Stewart | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| R. Benock | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Holcombe | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Bailey | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Beckham | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Osby | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Augustus | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Gay | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Bryant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Bolen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Luczak | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter