Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Baker | 40 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 9-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| T. Quinney | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| D. Marek | 35 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Josserand | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Clifford | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Davis | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Nielson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Thompson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Allen | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Jeffery | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Byrd | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter