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2008-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 2.2% 97.8% -
Bradley-Terry 11.6% 88.4% -
Margin 3.8% 96.2% +17.8 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% -
Efficiency 67.1% 32.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.0% 96.0% -
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +15 (91-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Raivio 32 6-9 3-4 3-4 7 2 2 0 2 18 18 -
T.J. Campbell 30 2-10 2-7 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 6 -6 -
J. Stohl 29 5-11 4-7 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 14 9 -
R. Smeulders 26 5-11 0-3 3-3 3 2 2 0 4 13 5 -
K. Knutson 22 6-7 0-0 0-2 5 2 0 1 1 12 12 -
T. Ito 17 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 4 7 -
L. Sikma 16 0-2 0-0 2-4 2 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
J. Hannibal 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
B.J. Porter 9 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
E. Waterford 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
N. Mitrovic 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Emery 32 3-5 2-3 2-2 5 4 0 1 3 10 12 -
L. Cummard 30 4-8 0-2 4-5 8 5 0 0 0 12 17 -
J. Fredette 29 6-7 0-1 5-6 3 3 2 0 4 17 14 -
J. Tavernari 28 7-14 5-11 6-6 6 0 1 0 2 25 16 -
C. Miles 23 6-7 0-0 0-2 3 4 2 0 2 12 12 -
L. Morgan Jr. 19 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 4 -
G. MacGregor 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 2 1 1 -
C. Abouo 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
A. Rose 9 0-1 0-0 5-6 2 0 1 0 0 5 7 -
J. Anderson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Pinegar 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Hartsock 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter