Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.1% | 87.9% | +10.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions +5 (61-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Goode | 36 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Cajou | 32 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Atupem | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| K. Beidler | 23 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Atupem | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| W. Holland | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Brown | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Trice | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Battle | 36 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 11-13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 18 | - |
| J. Cornley | 35 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| D. Jackson | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Morrissey | 26 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Pringle | 25 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Brooks | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Jones | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Babb | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Woodyard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter