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2008-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 4.5% 95.5% -
Bradley-Terry 11.2% 88.8% -
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.9% 62.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% -
Log Adjusted 14.0% 86.0% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +19 (85-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Figures 37 4-11 2-5 7-8 3 3 1 0 5 17 8 -
J. Pena 32 3-8 0-2 0-1 0 3 0 0 3 6 -2 -
J. Banks 30 3-9 0-1 8-9 8 1 1 0 2 14 13 -
M. Proctor 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 0 2 6 13 -
D. Beitzel 21 3-8 1-5 0-1 1 1 1 0 4 7 -2 -
C. Kaba 17 1-5 1-3 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
Y. Bonner 16 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
N. Kingman 14 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
T. Montgomery 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 3 6 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dotzler 25 1-2 1-2 3-4 1 3 6 0 1 6 13 -
K. Korver 25 4-6 4-6 2-2 3 2 2 1 2 14 14 -
B. Woodfox 23 6-11 2-4 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 16 10 -
C. Harriman 20 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Carter 20 2-3 0-0 5-6 4 3 0 0 2 9 11 -
P. Stinnett 20 4-6 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 8 7 -
C. Witter 20 4-6 3-4 2-3 1 2 1 0 1 13 10 -
K. Lawson Jr. 19 4-10 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 0 8 7 -
K. Walker II 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 0 2 1 2 0 5 6 -
C. Millard 9 0-1 0-1 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Young 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
D. Sitzmann 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter