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2008-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 28.5% 71.5% -
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% -
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 16.7% 83.3% -
Efficiency 1.2% 98.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% -
Log Adjusted 4.5% 95.5% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +18 (72-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Moore 33 2-5 0-0 1-3 3 5 0 0 3 5 5 -
D. Dumes 31 6-15 1-8 2-6 3 2 1 1 4 15 3 -
T. Pritchard 29 2-8 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 5 4 0 -
N. Williams 28 4-9 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 3 -
K. Taber 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 1 3 4 7 -
V. Jones III 19 1-5 0-2 4-6 3 0 2 0 3 6 3 -
M. Roth 16 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 9 7 -
M. Story 15 1-5 0-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -
T. Jobe 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stevenson 32 5-5 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 6 3 10 20 -
J. Meeks 30 5-12 2-6 1-2 0 0 2 0 3 13 0 -
D. Miller 29 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 2 1 5 6 -
P. Patterson 25 4-7 0-0 4-6 8 3 0 3 1 12 18 -
D. Liggins 23 2-6 0-1 6-6 2 3 0 0 6 10 3 -
M. Porter 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 0 3 -
J. Harrellson 18 6-12 1-3 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 15 9 -
K. Galloway 14 1-1 0-0 2-4 1 1 1 0 2 4 4 -
L. Slone 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
A.J. Stewart 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 -
M. Halsell 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
M. Krebs 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Perry 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter