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Idaho State Bengals 53
@
Green Bay Phoenix 68
2008-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Green Bay Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% - ✓
Margin 16.2% 83.8% +9.1 ✓ (5.9 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓

Actual: Green Bay Phoenix +15 (68-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stucki 40 4-10 2-6 1-3 5 0 1 3 2 11 8 -
D. Monroe 35 7-10 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 2 14 12 -
L. Steijn 31 1-4 0-0 2-3 7 1 1 0 1 4 8 -
K. Bay 27 5-11 3-8 2-2 1 2 3 0 1 15 9 -
A. Morgan 19 1-4 1-2 1-3 0 3 1 0 3 4 1 -
D. Carson 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 -2 -
A. Kilpatrick 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 1 1 3 3 -
D. Busma 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
C. Tatum 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
P. Taylor 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Baldwin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Evans 36 4-7 0-1 2-2 7 6 1 1 2 10 16 -
R. Fletcher 33 4-7 1-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 4 9 5 -
T. Cotton 32 8-12 6-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 22 12 -
M. Schachtner 29 1-2 0-0 5-5 8 1 0 0 3 7 11 -
C. Tang 27 4-11 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 10 3 -
R. Berry 17 1-3 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
R. Tillema 16 2-9 2-6 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 8 4 -
B. Perine 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
P. Nelson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

* = starter