Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | +5.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays +18 (77-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 34 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| C. Wright | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| R. Lowery | 26 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| M. Perry | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| L. Warren | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Little | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Searcy | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Johnson | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Williams | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Witter | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| P. Stinnett | 24 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| B. Woodfox | 23 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| K. Lawson Jr. | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Dotzler | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| C. Harriman | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Korver | 19 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Millard | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Carter | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Young | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Walker II | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter