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2008-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% -
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% -
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Log Adjusted 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +19 (75-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Gardner 35 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Walker 31 3-8 2-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 8 1 -
T. Franklin 25 3-7 0-0 1-2 9 5 2 1 2 7 15 -
D. Vandervieren 25 8-11 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 16 6 -
J. Simmons 23 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 0 -2 -
A. McFarland 20 0-3 0-3 1-4 3 1 0 0 1 1 1 -
J. Carr 19 4-7 4-7 0-2 1 2 0 0 1 12 7 -
H. Perry 13 2-5 1-1 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
M. Bocar Ba 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Nigon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Annese 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Higgins 38 11-16 3-5 8-9 6 3 3 1 1 33 29 -
N. Tomlinson 36 5-6 1-2 0-1 4 3 1 0 2 11 11 -
D. Thorne II 34 3-8 1-4 3-6 4 3 2 0 1 10 10 -
A. Dufault 32 5-10 1-2 1-3 5 1 0 0 1 12 7 -
J. Jackson-Wilson 24 3-5 0-0 0-3 4 4 1 2 1 6 11 -
T. Eckloff 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Veal 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Zehnder 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
L. Knutson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Kelley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Coney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter