Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dunson | 35 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | - |
| T. Wilson | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Roberts | 28 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| S. Maniscalco | 26 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -4 | - |
| D. Collins | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| E. McCain | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Norris | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| T. Brown | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Singh | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Thompson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Walton | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Lucas | 32 | 3-15 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| C. Allen | 28 | 6-14 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| R. Morgan | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| D. Roe | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Gray | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Summers | 13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Thornton | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Lucious | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| I. Ibok | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter