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2008-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% -
Bradley-Terry 8.8% 91.2% -
Margin 2.5% 97.5% +20.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.0% 66.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dunson 35 5-12 1-5 2-4 2 0 0 0 3 13 0 -
T. Wilson 29 4-9 2-4 6-9 7 1 2 1 2 16 16 -
C. Roberts 28 3-10 1-5 2-2 5 0 1 0 4 9 1 -
S. Maniscalco 26 2-8 0-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 6 4 -4 -
D. Collins 23 3-7 0-0 3-5 2 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
E. McCain 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 -1 -
D. Norris 13 0-4 0-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 1 -1 -
T. Brown 13 2-3 0-0 1-4 5 0 0 1 0 5 8 -
S. Singh 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 0 3 -
A. Thompson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Walton 34 3-6 0-0 3-4 3 4 0 0 4 9 6 -
K. Lucas 32 3-15 1-2 5-6 6 9 2 0 1 12 13 -
C. Allen 28 6-14 5-9 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 19 8 -
R. Morgan 21 3-6 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 0 3 7 8 -
D. Green 15 1-2 0-0 3-3 5 2 1 0 1 5 10 -
D. Roe 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Gray 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
D. Summers 13 3-4 2-2 1-1 3 0 2 1 3 9 8 -
A. Thornton 11 1-4 0-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
K. Lucious 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 5 2 -
I. Ibok 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter