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2008-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Wagner Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 94.8% 5.2% -
Bradley-Terry 70.6% 29.4% -
Margin 77.6% 22.4% -6.8 (15.8 off)

Actual: Wagner Seahawks +9 (83-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Morin 34 7-14 1-3 1-2 8 2 3 0 2 16 13 -
T. Pinick 32 3-8 0-1 1-1 7 5 1 1 2 7 11 -
A. Zampier 30 7-12 4-9 7-8 0 1 0 0 5 25 9 -
G. Fiddler 28 4-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 4 9 5 -
P. Braswell 26 2-7 1-4 4-4 3 1 1 0 2 9 5 -
C. Andrews 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 5 1 0 3 2 5 -
J. Gibson 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 2 -
R. Mantilla 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
M. Sands 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P. Nelson 6 1-3 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 1 1 3 4 -
G. Mangano 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith 33 6-10 1-2 4-5 3 5 3 0 1 17 17 -
L. Radford 31 4-7 0-0 0-0 13 2 2 0 3 8 15 -
J. Drummond 30 5-9 1-2 7-9 3 3 1 1 4 18 13 -
J. Mundweiler 26 5-7 3-4 4-6 0 5 1 0 2 17 14 -
M. Orock 23 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
D. Elwell 19 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 7 5 -
C. Martin 13 1-2 1-2 0-3 1 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
C. Spiller 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
T. Murray 9 2-3 0-0 1-2 0 2 1 1 2 5 4 -
C. Harris 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter