Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +5 (52-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Boone | 39 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 5 | - |
| I. Koggu | 33 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| E. McKinney | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| M. Lance | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Morgan | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Thomas | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Brown | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| B. Ayers | 10 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| D. Bryant | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cooks | 37 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| W. Knapp | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| R. Jehle | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Laurie | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. McFarland | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Weems | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Hobbs | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| I. Rhine | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter