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2008-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 20.2% 79.8% -
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% -
Margin 17.9% 82.1% +8.4 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 23.7% 76.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% -
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% -

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -7 (64-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Washington 39 2-5 1-2 4-8 3 4 1 1 3 9 10 -
A. Johnson 38 8-10 0-0 4-7 3 4 2 0 4 20 15 -
M. Holland 36 2-6 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 4 -1 -
A. Henke 35 6-9 5-7 6-7 4 3 3 0 5 23 19 -
G. Parker 30 3-4 1-1 1-2 5 0 0 2 0 8 11 -
T. Stewart 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
M. McLain 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. Schafer 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Merriex 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
T. Noonan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Banks 35 7-7 0-0 2-3 5 1 2 0 2 16 15 -
J. Pena 30 6-14 1-6 0-1 3 3 1 0 3 13 3 -
W. Figures 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. Beitzel 21 4-7 2-5 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 12 6 -
J. Mason 20 2-8 0-1 2-4 6 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
Y. Bonner 20 2-4 2-4 1-3 0 1 1 0 1 7 4 -
N. Kingman 18 1-6 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 4 -1 -
T. Montgomery 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 2 1 4 2 -
C. Kaba 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
M. Proctor 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter