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2008-12-06

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% -
Efficiency 89.5% 10.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 70.7% 29.3% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -7 (57-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rougeau 36 8-16 0-0 3-3 13 2 2 0 5 19 15 -
J. Darger 33 1-7 0-4 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
O. Bellfield 32 5-8 5-7 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 17 15 -
T. Willis 31 3-8 1-4 4-6 5 1 1 0 6 11 4 -
W. Adams 25 2-8 0-3 7-10 6 1 0 0 2 11 8 -
D. Santee 21 2-5 0-0 0-4 5 1 0 1 1 4 5 -
K. Wallace 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Massamba 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Rutledge 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Cooke 35 0-3 0-0 2-3 10 0 6 0 1 2 14 -
A. Johnson 35 6-14 0-4 9-11 3 3 2 0 5 21 10 -
L. Burleson 33 1-6 1-6 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 3 0 -
L. Babbitt 33 5-14 1-5 4-4 8 2 0 1 1 15 11 -
B. Fields 21 1-6 0-3 2-4 2 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
J. Shaw 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
R. Kraemer 14 2-4 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
D. Hunt 10 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
R. Phillips 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter