Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | -3.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.9% | 30.1% | -4.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -22 (46-68). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Goldston | 33 | 7-15 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| J. Dukes | 31 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| T. Hampton | 31 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| L. Mendez | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| R. Chase | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Rimmer | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| X. Hansbro | 16 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Fields | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| O. Krubally | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wolf | 33 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Tomko | 31 | 4-15 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Stephenson | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Sheets | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Jeralds | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Lacy | 21 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -2 | - |
| D. Felder | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Aycock | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Mercer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter