Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.7% | 86.3% | +10.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Newell | 33 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| B. Lampley | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| L. Frazier | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| R. Davis | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Perry | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| E. Wormely | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Hubbard | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Giles | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| B. Chisholm | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holsinger | 33 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| K. Williams | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Ely | 27 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Lacey | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| N. Garner | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| J. Haarsma | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Hopf | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Holmes | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter