Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +1 (87-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Emanuel | 38 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Johnson | 29 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| T. Blakley | 28 | 7-11 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| T. Johns | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| S. Latunde | 26 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| D. Lee | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Carlson | 14 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Bragg | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Brown | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 33 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| D. Calegari | 30 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| V. Oliver | 29 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| J. Harden | 29 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| D. Carter | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 22 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Silva | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Malik | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Clark | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Boone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter