Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -3.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +14 (84-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.