Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Bucs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | +5.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.