Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Lady Hornets | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +18.9 | ✓ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +41 (83-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Lady Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jackson | 0 | 3-12 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| S. Merritt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Holloway | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Chambers | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Hill | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McKeller | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| B. Hollins | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D. Olsen | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| C. Johnson | 0 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Williams | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
* = starter