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2008-12-04

Model Predictions

Model The Citadel Bulldogs UNC Greensboro Spartans Spread Result
Elo 79.6% 20.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 80.2% 19.8% - โœ“
Margin 80.1% 19.9% -7.7 โœ“ (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 79.3% 20.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.6% 9.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.7% 9.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.1% 33.9% - โœ“

Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans -7 (50-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Urbanus 33 1-3 0-1 3-6 5 2 0 0 1 5 8 -
C. Wells 30 5-11 1-2 1-2 9 3 0 1 2 12 12 -
A. Dahn 27 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
D. Nelson 25 5-8 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 3 11 8 -
D. Eykyn 21 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Clark 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
B. Streeter 14 3-5 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
C. Morabbi 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 2 -
J. Brick 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 4 3 -
T. McDowell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Roberts 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stywall 36 2-5 0-1 2-4 10 1 0 2 3 6 11 -
M. Koivisto 32 2-14 1-10 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 7 0 -
K. Toney 25 1-9 0-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 2 -2 -
L. Clement 24 5-13 3-10 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 15 3 -
E. Bone 23 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
M. Smith 21 2-8 0-2 1-1 1 1 2 0 0 5 1 -
P. Brown 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 2 4 5 -
D. Oliver 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
D. Jackson 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter