Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✗ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Eastern Kentucky Colonels -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Luckett | 0 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| P. Guffey | 0 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| A. Hayes | 0 | 11-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| A. Guffey | 0 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -1 | - |
| A. Mullins | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cole | 0 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. White | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| N. Mossong | 0 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 20 | - |
| S. Fraser-Jones | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Drake | 0 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -1 | - |
* = starter