Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✓ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -24 (39-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hartig | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Mohammed | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| M. Wright | 0 | 11-18 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| B. Millner | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Moorer | 0 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 21 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Simpson | 0 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Gordon | 0 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Smith | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| L. McCully | 0 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| F. Josil | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter