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2008-12-04

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 25.8% 74.2% +5.8 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 12.8% 87.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Log Adjusted 22.1% 77.9% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett 40 2-5 1-2 3-4 7 13 1 0 4 8 20 -
D. Lewis 39 8-15 3-4 6-6 2 0 0 0 2 25 10 -
D. DeRozan 37 5-13 0-1 0-1 4 2 1 0 2 10 2 -
T. Gibson 37 5-9 0-0 2-5 10 1 1 2 3 12 14 -
K. Wilkinson 25 2-3 2-2 2-2 2 1 2 0 1 8 9 -
L. Washington 14 3-4 2-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 9 9 -
D. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Diarra 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Simmons 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Griffin 37 8-12 0-0 9-13 6 2 0 1 2 25 20 -
T. Griffin 37 3-9 0-0 4-5 9 2 0 4 2 10 14 -
W. Warren 37 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 1 4 0 1 5 6 -
A. Johnson 35 7-12 3-7 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 17 7 -
C. Davis 24 1-6 1-6 4-6 3 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
T. Crocker 17 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 1 0 5 8 -
O. Leary 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
R. Wright 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

* = starter