Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +22 (59-37). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fowler | 36 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Mouzy | 33 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -7 | - |
| M. Smith | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Patterson | 23 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Moore | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 6 | - |
| C. Jackson | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Edwards | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| W. Burton | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| L. Foster | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Jackson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Jackson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Bails | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jehle | 36 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| S. Laurie | 36 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Weems | 29 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Hobbs | 24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| W. Knapp | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| C. Cooks | 21 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| I. Rhine | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| C. McFarland | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
* = starter