Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.1% | 18.9% | -8.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.