Model Predictions
| Model | Hampton Pirates | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -9 (53-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hampton Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Freeman | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| K. Morgan II | 31 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| V. Simpson | 29 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| T. Smalling | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Tunnell | 27 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Brooks | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Tolson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| G. DeGroat | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Harrison | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Ntoko | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Lola-Charles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dukes | 36 | 7-17 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 4 | - |
| L. Mendez | 29 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Goldston | 26 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| T. Hampton | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| R. Chase | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| B. Rimmer | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| X. Hansbro | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Lott | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| O. Krubally | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Fields | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter