Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -3 (56-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Daugherty | 0 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| K. Ross | 0 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Nance | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Raterman | 0 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| P. Lalor | 0 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Stephens | 0 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| S. Bellman | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Morgan | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. Boddie | 0 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| S. Sanders | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter