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2008-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% -
Bradley-Terry 61.3% 38.7% -
Margin 54.1% 45.9% -0.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 20.1% 79.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% -
Log Adjusted 7.9% 92.1% -

Actual: Utah Utes +14 (95-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter 33 6-12 2-4 0-0 1 2 3 0 2 14 6 -
G. Sim 33 10-14 5-6 3-3 3 4 1 0 2 28 20 -
C. Odia 24 3-6 1-4 3-4 3 2 1 0 1 10 9 -
L. Longmire 21 3-5 0-1 2-4 2 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
M. Humphrey 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
J. Catron 19 3-9 0-0 0-1 6 3 2 0 2 6 6 -
T. Williams 16 2-6 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
K. Brown 14 1-1 1-1 0-2 2 3 2 0 1 3 8 -
J. Crittle 14 1-4 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
D. Wiley 5 0-2 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Nevill 34 7-10 0-0 4-4 10 1 2 2 1 18 22 -
T. Kepkay 34 9-16 3-7 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 23 9 -
S. Green 33 8-13 5-9 0-2 6 3 0 1 4 21 14 -
C. Brown 29 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 5 1 1 3 3 10 -
L. Drca 23 0-1 0-1 8-8 6 9 1 0 6 8 17 -
L. Borha 20 4-7 3-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 11 7 -
K. Tillie 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
J. Cyphers 13 2-3 1-2 4-5 2 0 0 0 0 9 8 -

* = starter