Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +14 (73-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Douglas | 40 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 10 | - |
| U. Echefu | 29 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 7-11 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| L. Loucks | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -4 | - |
| R. Reid | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. DeMercy | 23 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Singleton | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Alabi | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Dulkys | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Hoff | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| X. Gibson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore | 40 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| K. Coble | 38 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| M. Thompson | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Ryan | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 20 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Shurna | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Rowley | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Nash | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Capocci | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Curletti | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter