Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.9% | 38.1% | -2.7 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 35 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Harden | 34 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| V. Oliver | 32 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Calegari | 25 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| R. Silva | 19 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 15 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Malik | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Carter | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Oestreicher | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Clark | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Boone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Leath | 38 | 10-17 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 24 | - |
| J. Eller | 37 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| M. Marcial | 32 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | - |
| A. Flaggs | 26 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| R. Adams | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Wilson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Thomas | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Edwards | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Stigall | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Calton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter