Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +46.9 | ✓ (25.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +21 (61-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lowhorn | 29 | 8-17 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 29 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Quezada | 25 | 2-11 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -4 | - |
| D. Bryant | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Caloiaro | 24 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Wallace | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. O'Brien | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Morgan | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| P. Smith | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Hernandez | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Pekarsky | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Taylor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Dipprey | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| L. Keeler | 30 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| T. Shelton | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| T. Clark | 27 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| S. Lewis | 25 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| C. Thomas | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Hanson | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| B. Henning | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter