Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -16 (60-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 36 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| K. Singler | 36 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| G. Henderson | 28 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| G. Paulus | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| L. Thomas | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. McClure | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| N. Smith | 20 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hummel | 37 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C. Kramer | 35 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E. Moore | 32 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| K. Grant | 29 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| N. Calasan | 20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Johnson | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| L. Jackson | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. Green | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter