Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Johnson | 37 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| T. Gabbidon | 30 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Shank | 29 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| M. Smith IV | 26 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Bonney | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Fields | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Gibson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Allen | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Gasporra | 10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Stepter | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Harris | 34 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| K. Kina | 34 | 9-11 | 0-1 | 11-15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 18 | - |
| O.J. Avworo | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Veazey | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| A. Teague | 26 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| R. Garcia | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Colbert | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Brooks | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wilson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Sugars | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T.J. Topercer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter