Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.7% | 93.3% | +14.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Delk | 33 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| M. Vogler | 25 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Huddleston | 22 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Jervis | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Lee | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Williams | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Ware | 16 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| B. Hazzard | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Jones | 15 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Telfair | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Leggett | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| M. Johnson | 27 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| L. Warren | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Lowery | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Perry | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Searcy | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Wright | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| P. Williams | 12 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 12 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Johnson | 9 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Thomas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter