Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -6 (76-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 35 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| L. Babbitt | 33 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| L. Burleson | 31 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| M. Cooke | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Hunt | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Shaw | 18 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| B. Fields | 15 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Phillips | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Phillips | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Giles | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carr | 36 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| M. Walker | 35 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| A. McFarland | 34 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. Ogide | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Simmons | 20 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Franklin | 13 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| D. Vandervieren | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Nigon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter