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2008-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 2.6% 97.4% +25.3 โœ“ (11.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“
Margin 2.8% 97.2% +19.4 โœ“ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 15.5% 84.5% - โœ“

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs +14 (55-41). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Prestley 35 4-12 0-1 3-3 2 2 0 0 0 11 3 -
Ariece Perkins 32 4-5 2-2 1-1 3 4 0 0 1 11 12 -
Ibrahim Kpaka 26 2-10 2-8 0-1 0 1 2 0 1 6 -2 -
Jamal Breaux 25 0-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
Marcus Coleman 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 3 2 -2 -
Donald Qualls 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
Jarred Riley 12 0-0 0-0 5-6 2 0 0 0 2 5 5 -
George Akpele 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
Jordan Lemons 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Kevin Loyd 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Urbanus 35 5-9 5-8 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 15 12 -
Cameron Wells 33 4-9 2-3 0-0 14 5 0 0 2 10 18 -
Daniel Eykyn 24 2-6 1-4 1-2 0 1 0 0 2 6 -1 -
Demetrius Nelson 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 6 6 -
Austin Dahn 17 3-7 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
Cosmo Morabbi 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Tyrell McDowell 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Matt Clark 14 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Bryan Streeter 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 4 6 -
Matt Roberts 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jonathan Brick 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter