Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.5 | ✓ (23.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +28 (87-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Posley | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Powell | 26 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Byrd | 21 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| P. Roemer | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Phippen | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| W. Brew | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| C. Devine | 16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Weiner | 15 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -4 | - |
| J. Serna | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Nunnally | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| G. Somogyi | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Quick | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 35 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| L. Phillips | 29 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| E. Holloway | 28 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 25 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| B. Sampay | 20 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| S. Odzic | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Shipley | 11 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Robinson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Holtz | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter