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2008-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 25.7% 74.3% -
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% -
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% -
Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.7% 69.3% -
Log Adjusted 30.8% 69.2% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +9 (83-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 33 6-16 0-1 5-7 7 3 0 0 3 17 8 -
J.P. Prince 28 4-10 0-2 4-4 8 2 0 1 5 12 8 -
S. Hopson 25 6-12 3-6 1-1 1 3 1 1 1 16 9 -
B. Maze 25 3-10 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 1 2 6 5 -
W. Chism 23 1-4 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 1 5 5 1 -
B. Williams 18 3-9 0-0 0-1 15 1 1 0 3 6 11 -
C. Tatum 17 2-9 2-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 -1 -
J. Tabb 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Woolridge 11 2-6 1-5 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 6 2 -
E. Negedu 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Heytvelt 34 5-6 2-3 3-4 6 0 1 2 2 15 16 -
J. Pargo 31 5-10 0-1 0-0 6 7 3 1 2 10 15 -
M. Bouldin 31 4-9 3-4 6-8 1 4 3 0 2 17 14 -
M. Downs 30 3-9 0-3 6-8 4 2 0 1 1 12 9 -
S. Gray 29 6-10 4-6 3-3 2 4 0 0 0 19 15 -
A. Daye 19 2-4 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 2 5 6 1 -
D. Goodson 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
I. Brown 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
R. Sacre 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter