Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.8% | 46.2% | -1.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights -6 (65-71). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stallworth | 38 | 5-13 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| L. Buchanan | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Demonte Harper | 35 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kenneth Faried | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| John Lamb | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| R. Murry | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Hill | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Andreas Coleman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cecil Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Taylor | 35 | 8-22 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| T. Davis | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| A.J. Rompza | 24 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Taylor Young | 22 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| I. Sosa | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Baez | 17 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| W. Weathers | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Yotio | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter