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2008-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 3.2% 96.8% -
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% -
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.6 (16.6 off)

Actual: UCF Knights -6 (65-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stallworth 38 5-13 5-11 2-2 5 2 0 0 4 17 7 -
L. Buchanan 36 5-9 0-0 6-8 6 0 1 0 1 16 13 -
D. Harper 35 6-13 1-3 3-4 3 6 4 1 6 16 11 -
K. Faried 28 5-7 0-0 2-5 8 1 2 5 1 12 20 -
J. Lamb 20 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 3 7 -
R. Murry 16 0-2 0-0 0-2 0 2 1 0 2 0 -1 -
T. Hill 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
A. Coleman 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
C. Brown 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 2 5 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor 35 8-22 4-13 2-2 10 3 2 1 3 22 13 -
T. Davis 28 4-9 0-1 4-6 11 1 2 1 3 12 15 -
A.J. Rompza 24 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 4 1 0 0 3 -
T. Young 22 1-4 1-1 7-8 1 1 2 0 1 10 9 -
I. Sosa 21 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 3 -2 -
K. Zondervan 20 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
C. Baez 17 1-6 0-4 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
W. Weathers 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Yotio 11 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
P.J. Gaynor 10 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -

* = starter