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2008-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Troy Trojans LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 24.5% 75.5% -
Bradley-Terry 13.8% 86.2% -
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 (19.7 off)

Actual: LSU Tigers +35 (92-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Delk 33 3-8 1-4 1-2 3 2 1 0 0 8 6 -
M. Vogler 30 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 3 1 -
B. Hazzard 25 5-10 3-5 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 16 6 -
C. Leggett 22 4-11 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 3 1 9 6 -
A. Jones 19 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
R. Huddleston 15 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
T. Jervis 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 1 6 10 -
T. Lee 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -4 -
J. Williams 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
K. Ware 10 0-2 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Telfair 8 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Spencer 33 4-10 3-7 2-2 5 6 1 0 1 13 14 -
M. Thornton 30 13-24 4-10 2-4 8 3 0 1 0 32 20 -
G. Temple 29 3-5 2-4 1-2 7 10 4 0 3 9 22 -
T. Mitchell 27 4-9 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 8 0 -
C. Johnson 27 3-9 0-0 6-6 9 1 0 5 0 12 18 -
T. Martin 12 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Warren 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 4 4 -
Q. Thornton 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
A. Farrer 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Bass 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 4 -
D. Graham 5 1-1 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 0 0 5 11 -
Z. Kinsley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter