Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.7% | 95.3% | +16.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +35 (92-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Delk | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Vogler | 30 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Hazzard | 25 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| C. Leggett | 22 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Jones | 19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Huddleston | 15 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Jervis | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Lee | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| J. Williams | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Ware | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Telfair | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Spencer | 33 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Thornton | 30 | 13-24 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 20 | - |
| G. Temple | 29 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 22 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| C. Johnson | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| T. Martin | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Warren | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Q. Thornton | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Farrer | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Bass | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| D. Graham | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Z. Kinsley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter