Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Babbitt | 35 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| L. Burleson | 31 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Cooke | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Johnson | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Hunt | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Shaw | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Fields | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -4 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| R. Phillips | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Giles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Phillips | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Raivio | 37 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| T.J. Campbell | 33 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| K. Knutson | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Stohl | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 20 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| L. Sikma | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Ito | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 10 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Porter | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter