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2008-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% - โœ—
Margin 32.0% 68.0% +4.2 โœ— (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 44.5% 55.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% - โœ—

Actual: UNLV Rebels -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Vaughn 36 5-19 4-13 2-2 4 6 1 0 7 16 1 -
L. Davis 26 0-10 0-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 0 -5 -
M. Williams 25 1-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
A. Mitchell 20 3-5 2-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 8 9 -
D. Dixon 20 5-7 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 13 10 -
Y. Gates 19 7-10 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 1 1 16 13 -
R. Bishop 17 2-5 1-3 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
S. Toyloy 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
A. McClain 15 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
D. Wilks 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 0 2 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Adams 34 2-11 0-3 1-2 7 2 1 0 2 5 2 -
R. Rougeau 33 3-10 0-1 2-2 8 1 1 4 1 8 11 -
J. Darger 31 6-10 6-9 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 18 12 -
T. Willis 28 6-10 0-2 6-7 4 5 0 1 4 18 14 -
D. Santee 24 2-3 0-0 5-8 4 0 0 0 2 9 8 -
O. Bellfield 15 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 1 4 -
B. Massamba 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
K. Wallace 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Rutledge 9 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
D. Mitchell 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter