Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan Broncos | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | -4.8 | ✗ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.