Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware State Hornets | Longwood Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Longwood Lancers +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Delaware State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dubois | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 27 | - |
| D. Johnson | 34 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| F. Sandidge | 30 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| M. Neal | 28 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| T. Welcher | 27 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| F. Bouie | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Douse | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Parkes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Wilson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Price | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bogan | 36 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | - |
| D. Smith | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| K. Swecker | 30 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Neil | 27 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -3 | - |
| B. Robinson Jr. | 20 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Carter | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| E.J. Dawson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Washington | 13 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Ryan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Evans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter